Every number we publish, and where to check it.
Every figure on this site can be recomputed from published data — including the ones that argue against us. This page is the index of the receipts.
01 · SEALEDBEFORE THE RESULT
02 · GRADEDWINS AND LOSSES
03 · PUBLICTHE FULL RECORD
04 · VERIFYRECOMPUTE THE ROOT
CLOSING-LINE VALUE ON SEALED PICKS
the number that cannot be faked without a timestamp
EVERY SAMPLE WE QUOTE, WITH ITS OWN DENOMINATOR
We publish our own model losing. Across 2,671 graded walk-forward NFL games (2,608 decided, 63 pushes) our prediction model hit 49.8% of decided games against the spread; the market hit 49.7%; breakeven is 52.4%. Nobody clears it. That measurement is why Sooth sells price transparency instead of picks — and why you can trust the rest of this site: numbers that flatter us and numbers that do not get published the same way.
THE RECEIPTS