Every game, both models, sealed under a public Merkle commitment before kickoff and graded after — losses styled exactly like wins. The whole slate is free and open the moment it is sealed. Not advice; nothing here claims to win.
Every game sealed. The filter published with it.
Every honest record in this market is a selected subset — filtered by star tier, an edge threshold, or a card that plays a third of the games. We filter too. The difference is that ours is published, and applied before the seal: the bar is four points of disagreement with the number, and the unfiltered record is printed beside the filtered one. That unfiltered record loses to the closing market: 49.8% ATS on 2,608 decided walk-forward games, under the 52.38% break-even. The games clearing the bar ran 53.2%, on an interval that still contains break-even. See every population →
How the seal works, and what this isn't
The whole slate is committed unfiltered, under a Merkle root anchored to a public GitHub commit — timestamped by someone other than us, and verifiable at /verify. That is what makes the losing number above credible instead of embarrassing. The smaller sample with real consensus closing lines is worse still, 48.7%. We do not claim an edge and you should not bet these picks expecting profit.
What this is: a transparent research instrument. Every week, before the first kickoff, we seal the full slate — every game, both models, no cherry-picking. After the games close we grade ourselves against the closing line, from price sources we captured ourselves, and publish every result — losses styled exactly like wins.
All of it is free. No paid tier, no account, nothing to buy. The slate is published as soon as it is sealed. What makes the timestamp mean anything is that the hash went into a public GitHub commit before the games, not how long we sit on the contents — so we do not sit on them. The seal and the grade are emailed to anyone who asks at /alerts.
A season is ~285 games — not enough to statistically separate a 52% picker from a coin. We say that out loud because the ledger would out us if we didn't. If someone sells you certainty, ask for their merkle root.
Research and entertainment only. Not betting advice, not a claim any pick will win. We do not accept wagers and hold no funds. 21+ where lawful. If gambling is causing harm: 1-800-522-4700, 24/7.